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Sunk Cost Fallacy

Trading & Execution

Definition

A cognitive bias in which a decision-maker continues investing in a losing endeavor because of the cumulative resources (money, time, effort) already committed to it, even though those prior costs are irrecoverable and should be irrelevant to a rational forward-looking decision.

In Panel Profits

Holding depreciating speculative variants because of high initial retail purchase price rather than rotating capital into appreciating certified blue-chip grails.

Comic-market example

Refusing to sell a cooling 1990s foil gimmick book bought at the market peak because of its original price tag exemplifies the sunk cost fallacy.

Calculation

Sunk Cost = Irrecoverable Historical Capital (Ignored in Forward Discounted Cash Flow)